Spreads
Spreads
Spreads
Spreads
Spreads
Make informed decisions with the most up-to-date and reliable financial data, exclusively provided by vtmarkets.com.
EUR/USD Dips Amidst USD Rebound and Rate Cut Speculations
The EUR/USD pair has seen a downturn for the third consecutive session, touching the 1.0800 level as the US Dollar gains strength, driven by renewed interest from investors. This movement is in sync with the rising US Dollar Index (DXY), surpassing the 104.00 mark, despite a drop in US yields. The Dollar’s resurgence, after a brief dip following US PCE data indicating disinflation, was bolstered by Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic’s remarks on the stubborn path to the 2% inflation target and the potential for a policy rate reduction in the summer. Concurrently, both US and German bond yields experienced a decline amid anticipations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, possibly in June, with a 52% probability as forecasted by the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool. This is paralleled by the ECB’s openness to initiating its easing cycle, hinted at for a June start by board member Peter Kazimir, amidst signs of waning inflation in Germany and ahead of crucial CPI data for the eurozone that could influence ECB rate cut timings.
On Thursday, the EUR/USD moved lower and was able to reach the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. Currently, the price is moving below the middle band, suggesting a potential upward movement to reach above the middle band. Notably, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) maintains its position at 47, signaling a neutral outlook for this currency pair.
Resistance: 1.0832, 1.0858
Support: 1.0812, 1.0783
XAU/USD Surge Amid Disinflation Confirmation and Rate Cut Speculation
Following the release of the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, which met expectations and indicated ongoing disinflation, gold prices experienced a significant increase of over 0.50% during Thursday’s North American trading session. This data release led to a decrease in US Treasury bond yields, inversely benefiting the price of gold, propelling XAU/USD to $2,046. The anticipation of the Core PCE report, showing a year-on-year deceleration in inflation for January, alongside a sharp decline in headline inflation, fueled expectations of potential rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Market predictions, influenced by the CME FedWatch Tool, now foresee a higher likelihood of a rate cut by June, contributing to the bullish momentum in gold prices amidst a broader analysis of economic indicators such as Initial Jobless Claims and Pending Home Sales.
On Thursday, XAU/USD moved higher to reach the upper band of the Bollinger Bands. Currently, the price is moving just below the upper band, suggesting a potential higher movement to reach above the upper band and reach the resistance level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 63, signaling a bullish outlook for this pair.
Resistance: $2,056, $2,065
Support: $2,039, $2,030
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