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Daily Technical Insights 5th December 2023


Make informed decisions with the most up-to-date and reliable financial data, exclusively provided by vtmarkets.com.

Picks of the Day Analysis
EUR/USD (4 Hours)

EUR/USD Faces Downward Pressure Amid Rate Cut Speculations and Labor Market Data

The EUR/USD faced its fourth consecutive drop, slipping below the 20-day SMA and hovering above the 1.0800 mark as the US Dollar gained strength before pivotal labor market data. Speculation around the ECB potentially cutting rates before the Fed intensified the downward trend, retracting the Euro from recent highs above 1.1000. Despite the descent, the movement seems somewhat exaggerated, with expected sustained volatility. Market focus shifts to key releases including Eurostat’s PPI and PMIs, alongside US labor reports such as JOLTS, ISM Services PMI, ADP employment data, Jobless Claims, and Nonfarm Payrolls expected later in the week.

Chart EUR/USD by TradingView

On Monday, the EUR/USD experienced a downward movement, creating a push to the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. Currently, the price moving slightly above the lower band, suggesting a potential upward movement, potentially reaching the middle band before goes back lower. Notably, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) maintains its position at 31, signaling a bearish outlook for this currency pair.

Resistance: 1.0880, 1.0945

Support: 1.0835, 1.0760

XAU/USD (4 Hours)

XAU/USD Volatility: Navigating Unpredictable Swings Amidst Economic Indicators

Gold spot prices surged to a record high of approximately $2,150, later correcting sharply below $2,040, in a week marked by erratic fluctuations. The upcoming US labor market data, central bank meetings, and Consumer Price Index contribute to the uncertain landscape. Despite a Federal Reserve tone suggesting hawkishness, Gold surged, possibly fueled by expectations of rate cuts. However, the subsequent pullback hints at a potential overestimation of rate cut probabilities. The market’s movements seem more reactive to sentiment shifts than distinct fundamentals, lacking a clear catalyst for its rally or the subsequent sharp decline. The rise in US yields and Dollar strength on Monday only partially explain the magnitude of Gold’s unpredictability.

Chart XAU/USD by TradingView

On Monday, XAU/USD moved lower after reaching an all-time high of $2,150 but subsequently experienced another strong downward movement, returning to around the $2,030 level. This movement resulted in high volatility, pushing the price beyond both the upper and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands. The current movement suggests a potential upward trend, possibly returning to the middle band. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands below 43, indicating a bearish yet neutral sentiment for this pair.

Resistance: $2,049, $2,072

Support: $2,025, $2,006

Make informed decisions with the most up-to-date and reliable financial data, exclusively provided by vtmarkets.com.