Spreads
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Spreads
The EUR/USD pair tumbled on Monday, coming under heavy bearish pressure and extended its slide toward the multi-year low below the 0.996 mark amid a risk-off market environment. The pair is now trading at 0.9958, posting a 0.80% loss daily. EUR/USD stays in the negative territory amid renewed US dollar strength, as the flight to safety in the American session provides a boost to the greenback and lifted it to new highs further north of the 108.00 mark at the beginning of the week. The growing worries over a global economic downturn and the COVID lockdowns in China have both undermined the market sentiment and exerted bearish pressure on the EUR/USD pair. For the Euro, the Bundesbank monthly report, which weighed on the shared currency, showed that a recession in Germany is increasingly likely and inflation will continue to accelerate.
For the technical aspect, the RSI indicator is 17 as of writing, suggesting that the pair might witness some upside correction as the RSI stays in the oversold zone. As for the Bollinger Bands, the price preserved its bearish traction and moved out of the lower bands, therefore a strong downtrend continuation can be expected. In conclusion, we think the market will be bearish as the pair is testing the 0.9991 support. But the pair could see some short-term correction before edging lower amid the oversold RSI.
Resistance: 1.0082, 1.0111, 1.0188
Support: 0.9991, 0.9950, 0.9910
The GBP/USD pair suffered heavy losses on Monday, continuing to turn lower for the fourth straight day and dropped to the lowest level since March 2020 below 1.1750 level amid renewed US dollar buying. At the time of writing, the cable stays in negative territory with a 0.64% loss for the day. The expectations that the Fed would continue to tighten its monetary policy to tame surging inflation continued to underpin the US dollar and dragged the GBP/USD pair lower. The speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday might also provide clues about the possibility of a 75 bps rate hike move at the September meeting. For the British pound, the Bank of England’s gloomy economic outlook and growing recession fears kept acting as a headwind for the currency.
For the technical aspect, the RSI indicator is 21 as of writing, suggesting that the pair could stage a correction before extending its slide as the RSI has dropped below 30. As for the Bollinger Bands, the price remained under pressure and dropped toward the lower band, therefore a continuation of bearish traction can be expected. In conclusion, we think the market will be bearish as the pair is testing the 1.178 support. A four-hour close below that level could open the door for additional losses.
Resistance: 1.1830, 1.1922, 1.2050
Support: 1.1780
Gold price slumped to below $1,730 level in the European session and tried to erase losses in the early American session but failed on Monday. Price continues losing ground for the sixth straight day and drops to a nearly four-week low, suggesting that gold is still hard to gather bullish momentum with US Treasury bond yields continuing to push higher.
From the technical aspect, gold price witnessed heavy sell on Monday from the $1,750 level to the lowest $1,728. The RSI indicator is 28 as of writing, slightly below 30, which suggests that there could be a correction due to overselling. On the other hand, any advance upward now might be taken as a good chance for investors to sell while the trend is still downward. As for the Bollinger Bands, the price kept declining along with the lower band, a continuation of bearish traction can be expected. In conclusion, we think the market will maintain its downside traction but need to be aware of upside correction.
Market participants now eye on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday for clues about the possibility of a 75-bps rate hike move at the September meeting. This and the important US economic releases this week will play a key role in influencing the USD price and help determine the next direction for gold.
Resistance: $1,757, $1,783, $1,803
Support: $1,714, $1,685
