Spreads
Spreads
Spreads
Spreads
Spreads
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EUR/USD Faces Headwinds as USD Index Rebounds Amid Uncertainty Over Fed’s Rate-Hike Path
The EUR/USD pair encounters resistance as the USD Index (DXY) rebounds from an eight-week low, fueled by mixed signals from Federal Reserve officials regarding future rate hikes. This shift led to an uptick in US Treasury bond yields and USD short covering. The uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s next policy move has caused investors to speculate that the rate-hiking cycle may be approaching its end, with market pricing indicating a higher chance of a rate cut in June 2024. All eyes are now on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming appearances for further guidance.
According to technical analysis, the EUR/USD moved slightly lower on Monday, easing from the upper band of the Bollinger Bands. Currently, the EUR/USD is trading between the upper and middle band, indicating the potential for a slight lower movement to reach the middle band. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 60, signaling that the EUR/USD is back in neutral bias.
Resistance: 1.0765, 1.0835
Support: 1.0693, 1.0615
XAU/USD Softens as Positive Market Sentiment Eases Safety Demand
At the beginning of the week, a more optimistic market sentiment diminished the appeal of safe-haven assets, causing Gold (XAU/USD) to trade at around $1,983 per troy ounce with a softer tone. This decline was tempered by the relative absence of the US Dollar in investors’ focus. Despite limited activity in stock markets due to a lack of significant news, Wall Street’s major indexes extended their gains from Friday. This was supported by government bonds and equities, as the United States Nonfarm Payrolls Report and the Federal Reserve’s announcement signaled the end of the monetary tightening cycle. Central banks worldwide also expressed concerns about the impact of tightening on economic growth rather than current inflation levels, contributing to the overall market stability. While this week lacks significant economic events, the upcoming one is expected to bring updates on inflation from major economies, including the United States.
According to technical analysis, XAU/USD moves lower on Monday and is able to reach the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. Presently, the price of gold is moving near the lower band, creating a possibility to push lower. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 38, indicating a slight bearish bias for the XAU/USD pair.
Resistance: $1,992, $2,007
Support: $1,962, $1,945
Make informed decisions with the most up-to-date and reliable financial data, exclusively provided by vtmarkets.com.