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Daily Technical Insights 3rd August 2023

  

Make informed decisions with the most up-to-date and reliable financial data, exclusively provided by vtmarkets.com.

EUR/USD (4 Hours)

EUR/USD Breaks Key Support Levels Amid Strong US Dollar Performance and Risk Aversion

The EUR/USD pair experienced a significant drop below key support levels, reaching 1.0919, the lowest since July 7, due to the US dollar’s robust performance and risk aversion triggered by Fitch’s downgrade of the US sovereign rating. Despite initial gains after the announcement, the pair resumed its downward trend as the US dollar strengthened, breaking below 1.0960. The US Dollar Index rose to a four-week high above 102.50 following positive labor market data, with private employment increasing by 324K according to ADP. More US employment data is expected, making it crucial for market sentiment. On the horizon, Germany’s trade balance data, service PMIs, Eurostat’s Producer Price Index, and the Bank of England’s decision will be critical for the Euro’s performance.

Chart EURUSD by TradingView

According to technical analysis, the EUR/USD moved slightly lower on Wednesday and reached the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. Currently, the price is slightly above the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 34, suggesting that the EUR/USD is starting to move lower, indicating a bearish mode.

Resistance: 1.1038, 1.1121

Support: 1.0915, 1.0839

XAU/USD (4 Hours)

XAU/USD Faces Volatility Amid Mixed Market Sentiment and Encouraging US Data

The XAU/USD pair experienced volatility as market sentiment fluctuated and encouraging US data supported the US Dollar. Peaking at $1,954.81 per troy ounce, the pair currently trades around $1,935. The dismal market mood, driven by Fitch’s US debt rating downgrade and debt ceiling turmoil, contributed to risk-off sentiment, leading to red global indexes and a rally in government bond yields. However, the US Dollar recovered its poise after the release of positive ADP Employment Change data, showing the private sector added 324K new job positions in July, surpassing market expectations. As the labor market remains tight, speculation grows about further monetary tightening by the Federal Reserve, impacting the XAU/USD pair’s performance amid mixed outlooks and cautious optimism.

Chart XAUUSD by TradingView

According to technical analysis, the XAU/USD fell on Wednesday and reached the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. Currently, the price is moving slightly above the lower band of the Bollinger Bands. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 36, which suggests that the XAU/USD pair is slightly bearish.

Resistance: $1,945, $1,963

Support: $1,930, $1,912

Make informed decisions with the most up-to-date and reliable financial data, exclusively provided by vtmarkets.com.

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