• CL-OIL


  • Cocoa-C


  • View more

The market awaits US CPI inflation data


US stocks tumbled heavily on Wednesday, failing to preserve their upside traction and witnessing heavy selling pressure as renewed selling in cryptocurrencies and disappointing earnings weighed on risk sentiment ahead of a key US inflation report.

Global equity markets sensed an intense sell-off amid headwinds of the US mid-term elections outcome and upside risks from the inflationary pressures. Investors’ attention now shifts toward the closely watched US inflation report due Thursday after midterm elections failed to deliver a Republican sweep.

The headline US CPI is expected to decline to 8.0% meanwhile providing clues on the path of Federal Reserve policy tightening. on the Eurozone front, the European Central Bank (ECB) has conducted a survey of consumer expectations for inflation, which indicated that Consumers still see inflation at 3% in 3 years and 5.1% over the next 12 months. The higher inflation is hurting the households’ sentiment.

The benchmarks, S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both declined lower on Wednesday as the S&P 500 ended its three-day rally and Bitcoin dropped below $16,000 to a level not seen since 2020 amid a deepening selloff in cryptocurrencies. The S&P 500 was down 2.1% daily and the Dow Jones Industrial Average also dropped lower with a 1.9% loss for the day. All eleven sectors in S&P 500 stayed in negative territory as the Energy sector and the Consumer Discretionary sector is the worst performing among all groups, losing 4.88% and 3.12%, respectively. The Nasdaq 100 meanwhile slumped the most with a 2.4% loss on Wednesday and the MSCI World index was down 1.6% for the day.

Main Pairs Movement

The US dollar advanced higher on Wednesday, regaining upside momentum and rebounded firmly to the 110.50 area during the US trading session amid an improvement in safe-haven’s appeal. However, the 10-year US Treasury yields witnessed a steel fall below 4.10% as odds are favouring a rate hike of 50 basis points (bps) by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in its December monetary policy meeting. On Thursday, the US inflation figures will remain in the spotlight.

GBP/USD was sharply down on Wednesday with a 1.61% loss after the cable extended its intra-day slide to the 1.1340 mark amid the market’s anxiety ahead of the US inflation report. On the UK front, Prime Minister (PM) Rishi Sunak will become the first British prime minister in 15 years to attend the British-Irish Council summit on Thursday. Meanwhile, EUR/USD remained under pressure and retreated towards the 1.0000 mark amid a stronger US dollar across the board. The pair was down almost 0.63% for the day.

Gold dropped with a 0.33% loss for the day after surrendering its entire Wednesday’s gains near the $1,714 mark with the risk sentiment turning sour heading to the close, as the recovering US dollar undermined the precious metal. Meanwhile, WTI Oil was sharply down with a 3.46% loss for the day amid rising odds for the higher peak of the Federal Reserve (Fed)’s terminal rate.

Economic Data

CurrencyDataTime (GMT + 8)Forecast
USDCore CPI (MoM) (Oct)21:300.5%
USDCPI (YoY) (Oct)21:308.0%
USDCPI (MoM) (Oct)21:300.6%
USDInitial Jobless Claims21:30220K