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Daily Technical Insights 04 July 2022

  

EURUSD

EURUSD traded 0.54% lower over the last trading day of the week. The Eurozone HICP, the harmonised index of consumer prices, jumped to 86% in May, coming in higher than the 8.3% expectations. Despite the ECB’s efforts to tame inflation, prices are still growing at a pace that threatens price stability. The U.S. Greenback continues to be on the rise as market sentiment continues to be risk-averse and the U.S. equity market continues to fall further into bear territory. U.S. PMI data came in at 52.7, compared to estimates of 52.4, showing growth in purchasing and still signs of a healthy economy.

On the technical side, EURUSD was able to recover from our previously estimated support level of 1.0382 despite falling below this level briefly. A new level of resistance has formed around the 1.0485 price region. RSI for the pair sits at 41.02, as of writing. On the four-hour chart, EURUSD currently trades below its 50, 100, and 200-day SMA.

Resistance: 1.0485, 1.05754

Support: 1.0382

GBPUSD

GBPUSD lost 0.68% on the last trading day of the week. The pair gave up gains from the previous day as demand for the U.S. Greenback resumed. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. Dollar against a basket of other major foreign currencies, gained 0.36% to close the week in the green. The U.S. PMI data, which was released during the American trading session, provided fresh optimism for the U.S. Dollar as the figure came in better than expected.

On the technical side, GBPUSD successfully defended our previously estimated support level of 1.20824, despite the pair trading below that level for a brief period during the late European trading session. RSI for Cable sits at 38.1, as of writing. On the four-hour chart, GBPUSD currently trades below its 50, 100, and 200-day SMA.

Resistance: 1.2381

Support: 1.2123, 1.20824

USDJPY

USDJPY retreated a further 0.31% for the last trading day of the week. After touching a 24-year high on the 29th, USDJPY has been on a two-day short-term correction. However, as the U.S. reported better than expected PMI figures, demand for the U.S. Greenback returned towards the end of the American trading session. Carry trade opportunities continue to exist between these two currencies and are expected to increase as the better PMI provides more confidence for the Fed to hike interest rates by the next FOMC meeting.

On the technical side, USDJPY retreated from our previously estimated resistance level of 136.57 and successfully defended our estimated support level at 134.6. RSI for USDJPY sits at 58.39, as of writing. On the four-hour chart, USDJPY currently trades above its 50, 100, and 200-day SMA.

Resistance: 136.57

Support: 134.6


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